I think they're basing their assumptions on two things: 1) Obama won the
Iowa caucuses and Iowa is a mostly white state. 2) Everyone assumes that a
Democrat is going to win the election this year just because.
I'd like to expand on Esther's thought that Obama sounds good when he
talks. In fact, he sounds very "genuine," which may be more valuable right
now than gold. From many people's perspectives, the last three
presidents--now spanning 20 years--can be summarized in the following three
phrases: "No new taxes," "I did not have sex with that woman," and "Axis
of evil." While various people have various opinions on these three
presidents, there is a widespread feeling that it's been a while since
we've had a president who was both competent and not lying through his
teeth. I think the way Obama talks capitalizes on that feeling, and it
that may mean more than anything anyone else says or does during the
campaign. His victory in Iowa means that real "middle" Americans are
actually buying it.
Craig, I don't understand why using the phrase "Axis of evil" characterizes
the President as a liar. --Stephen